Politics · 1 Market

US 2026 Midterm Balance of Power

This Event covers the balance of power in the United States during the 2026 midterms. The reviewed aggregate Market presents Senate and House control combinations, Democratic and Republican sweep outcomes, and an Other category.

Markets

1

Platforms

1

Closes

Nov 04, 2026, 00:00 UTC

Last updated

Nov 02, 2026, 13:30 UTC

Quotes refresh on a bounded schedule. Contract terms update only when non-price rules change. Compare source time vs PMI observed time before acting.

01 / Markets

Available Markets

RaceActiveFresh

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Polymarket · 5 Selections

Leading Democrats Sweep 71.5¢Polymarket

Closes Nov 04, 2026, 00:00 UTC5 listings

02 / Updates

Latest Updates

Marist Poll · Sep 22, 2026, 12:00 UTC

NPR/PBS News/Marist poll shows Democrats leading Republicans 53%–41% on the 2026 generic ballot

An NPR/PBS News/Marist survey of 1,280 registered voters (Sept. 14–15) finds Democrats favored 53%–41% on the generic congressional ballot, with independents breaking 57%–32% Democratic. A plurality (45%) call their vote mostly against President Trump; his job approval sits at 39%.

A double-digit national generic-ballot lead is the cleanest cross-chamber signal for which party controls Congress after November — core context for the midterm balance-of-power board.

Open source

Earlier · 1 note

03 / Topic

Topic Brief

The US 2026 midterm balance of power concerns which party configuration emerges across the Senate and House. The reviewed aggregate Market frames the topic through control of both chambers, party-sweep outcomes, and an Other category. The supplied Market does not provide a detailed election calendar, decision procedure, or official resolution sources. It does establish a five-selection structure: Democrats Sweep, Republicans Sweep, D Senate with R House, R Senate with D House, and Other. These labels define the principal balance-of-power configurations represented in the available Market. For a prediction-market reader, this topic matters because control can be considered as a combined Senate-and-House outcome rather than as a single chamber result. The distinction between split control and a party sweep is central to interpreting the available landscape, while the Other selection provides a residual category for outcomes outside the four named party configurations. The available Market is therefore best read as a compact map of possible congressional control configurations for the 2026 midterms. Exact resolution rules and supporting sources are not included in the supplied record, so those details belong on the relevant Market page rather than in this evergreen topic brief.