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Short guides to how PMI works and how to read prediction markets. For published questions, go to the Events catalog.

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  • How PMI organizes Events, Markets, and Aggregates

    Events, Markets, race vs ladder aggregates, and what PMI does not merge.

  • How to read prediction market odds

    Cents as probabilities, volume, rules, and delayed snapshots.

  • Prediction markets, polls, and sportsbook-style odds

    When each tool is useful, without mixing them up.

PMI ยท Prediction Markets Insights

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  • Odds
  • Polls vs markets

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Disclaimer: PMI provides research information sourced from third-party prediction market platforms, including Polymarket. PMI does not operate a prediction market. PMI does not execute trades, place orders, accept deposits, or hold funds. Trade links open third-party platforms. PMI is not affiliated with or endorsed by those platforms. Market information can change. Verify current prices, rules, fees, and availability on the source platform. This material is not trading, investment, legal, or tax advice.