Race · Published · Polymarket
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
The 2028 US Democratic presidential nomination is the topic of an aggregate Market covering 51 potential selections. The listed selections include Josh Stein, Gavin Newsom, Kim Kardashian, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Andy Beshear, Ro Khanna, Phil Murphy, and 43 more.
Parent Event US Democratic Presidential Nomination 2028. Prices are research references. They are not executable quotes.
Reference
18.3¢
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
24h move
-0.5 pp
Closes
Nov 07, 2028, 00:00 UTC
Freshness
Fresh
Quotes refresh on a bounded schedule. Contract terms update only when non-price rules change. Compare source time vs PMI observed time before acting.
01 / Market
Market
Platform markets are not one pooled order book. Prices are not executable.
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Exclusive · Exhaustive · Source: Polymarket Complete · Platform: Polymarket
| Rank | Candidate | Ref | Basis | Spread | 24h move | Freshness | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Yes 18.3¢ | Midpoint | 0.1¢ | -0.5 pp | Fresh | |
| #2 | Jon Ossoff | Yes 16.4¢ | Midpoint | 0.2¢ | +0.7 pp | Fresh | |
| #3 | Gavin Newsom | Yes 16.1¢ | Midpoint | 0.1¢ | -2.1 pp | Fresh | |
| #4 | Kamala Harris | Yes 8.2¢ | Midpoint | 0.2¢ | +0.1 pp | Fresh | |
| #5 | Josh Shapiro | Yes 6.3¢ | Midpoint | 0.1¢ | +0.3 pp | Fresh | |
| #6 | Pete Buttigieg | Yes 5.5¢ | Midpoint | 0.1¢ | +0.1 pp | Stale | |
| #7 | Mark Kelly | Yes 3.3¢ | Midpoint | 0.1¢ | — | Fresh | |
| #8 | Andy Beshear | Yes 2.5¢ | Midpoint | 0.1¢ | — | Stale |
Ranked by the selected platform's reference price — highest first; candidates without a price on this platform sort last. Other platform quotes stay visible under each candidate. Prices are not executable.
02 / History
History
03 / Research
Research
Associated Press · Aug 15, 2026, 04:01 UTC · Market-linked
DNC approves 2028 Democratic primary calendar, putting South Carolina first
The Democratic National Committee approved a 2028 primary calendar beginning with South Carolina on January 22, followed by Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Michigan and Virginia. The sequence prioritizes states with sizable Black, Latino and union electorates and establishes an early strategic path for the nomination contest.
Open sourceNPR's Newsmakers · Aug 13, 2026, 00:00 UTC · Market-linked
Ro Khanna says he is seriously considering a 2028 Democratic presidential run
Rep. Ro Khanna said in an NPR interview that he is seriously considering running for president in 2028. He used the interview to outline a progressive economic agenda focused on taxing extreme wealth, regulating technology, and rebuilding the social contract.
Open sourceAxios · Aug 09, 2026, 00:00 UTC · Market-linked
AOC leaves open a 2028 presidential run or Senate challenge to Chuck Schumer
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said she has not ruled out running for president in 2028 and also described a Senate challenge to Chuck Schumer as possible. She said her immediate focus is winning the 2026 midterms, but her interview kept her publicly active in the 2028 Democratic field. ([axios.com](https://www.axios.com/2026/08/09/aoc-2028-president-schumer-senate))
Open sourceAxios · Aug 02, 2026, 00:00 UTC · Market-linked
Newsom shows fundraising muscle for state parties
Gavin Newsom has raised more than $1.7 million for 14 Democratic state parties during the current cycle, including over $300,000 for South Carolina and more than $117,000 for Nevada. State party officials described his fundraising support as unusually strong, while his affiliated committees held more than $14 million in cash at the end of June.
Open sourceIowa Capital Dispatch · Jul 13, 2026, 00:00 UTC · Market-linked
Buttigieg says he has not ruled out a 2028 presidential run while campaigning in Iowa
Pete Buttigieg said he has not ruled out running for president in 2028 when asked about a potential bid at a July 13 campaign event in Des Moines. He said his immediate focus is the 2026 election and supporting Democratic candidates.
Open sourceAssociated Press · May 28, 2026, 14:25 UTC · Market-linked
Michigan’s Whitmer has ‘nothing to announce’ on 2028 presidential bid
Gretchen Whitmer first said she would not run for president in 2028, then corrected herself and said she had nothing to announce. Her potential candidacy therefore remains unresolved rather than definitively ruled out.
Open sourceDemocratic National Committee · Mar 02, 2026, 00:00 UTC · Event-wide
DNC sets August 7–10, 2028, dates for Democratic National Convention
The Democratic National Committee announced that the 2028 Democratic National Convention will be held August 7–10, 2028. Atlanta, Boston, Chicago, Denver, and Philadelphia advanced as host-city finalists, with a final host city still undecided.
Open source
04 / Resolution
Resolution
Canonical question. Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Exclusive · Exhaustive
Membership review confirms Selections only. It does not confirm Resolution rules.
Key Rules
Verified against exchange rules
- Resolution condition
- The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
- Resolution source
- A consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
- Closing time Missing
- Unknown
- Time zone Missing
- Not stated (display times in UTC)
- Cancellation / early-close logic
- Any replacement of the Democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Full Exchange Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
05 / Changes
Changes and Sources
No stale analysis flags on this aggregate Market.
| Platform | Source time | Observed | Adapter | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Sep 17, 2026, 00:14 UTC | Sep 17, 2026, 00:15 UTC | 1 | Open |
- Observed
- Sep 17, 2026, 00:15 UTC
- Collection
- Scheduled Collection
- Source time
- —
- Adapter
- Not available
Disclaimer
PMI provides research information sourced from third-party prediction market platforms, including Polymarket. PMI does not operate a prediction market. PMI does not execute trades, place orders, accept deposits, or hold funds. Trade links open third-party platforms. PMI is not affiliated with or endorsed by those platforms. Market information can change. Verify current prices, rules, fees, and availability on the source platform. This material is not trading, investment, legal, or tax advice.
Structured terms are verified extracts, not the exchange's own rules. Prices are snapshots with an explicit basis and are not executable. 24h movement is a snapshot comparison, not a trading signal. Liquidity is reported per platform and is never pooled across venues.