Politics · 1 Market

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…?

Markets on Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? across Polymarket. Odds, volume, chart, and key terms below.

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1

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1

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Jan 01, 2027, 00:00 UTC

Last updated

Nov 02, 2026, 13:30 UTC

Quotes refresh on a bounded schedule. Contract terms update only when non-price rules change. Compare source time vs PMI observed time before acting.

01 / Markets

Available Markets

LadderActiveFresh

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…?

Polymarket · 3 Selections

August 31, 2026 · September 30, 2026 · December 31, 2026

Next close Jan 01, 2027, 00:00 UTC3 listings
Research Market

02 / Updates

Latest Updates

Reuters · Sep 05, 2026, 07:16 UTC

U.S. strikes Iranian tankers near Kharg Island as Trump renews threats against the oil hub

On September 5, U.S. Central Command said American forces struck three Iranian oil vessels, including one off Kharg Island, after IRGC ballistic missiles targeted two U.S. Navy ships. Reuters reported Iran still routes the bulk of its crude through Kharg and that Trump on August 31 posted an AI-generated video depicting the island being destroyed, after earlier saying he wanted to seize it before putting a takeover “off the table.” No change of territorial control of the island was reported.

This Event resolves Yes only if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by the ladder deadlines. The September exchange shows continued U.S. pressure around the island’s approaches and presidential rhetoric about striking or seizing it, but leaves Iranian control intact—useful baseline context for near-term rungs that still price a loss of control as unlikely.

Open source

03 / Topic

Topic Brief

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? is the shared question across the Markets listed on this Event. Process evidence from listed Markets: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".. See each Market page for the full rulebook. Watch official decisions that change the outcome; venue rules and timing on linked Markets.