Ladder · Published · Polymarket
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…?
Markets on Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? across Polymarket. Odds, volume, chart, and key terms below.
Parent Event Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…?. Prices are research references. They are not executable quotes.
Next deadline price
0.1¢
August 31, 2026
24h move
Not available
Next close
Jan 01, 2027, 00:00 UTC
Freshness
Stale
Quotes refresh on a bounded schedule. Contract terms update only when non-price rules change. Compare source time vs PMI observed time before acting.
01 / Market
Market
Platform markets are not one pooled order book. Prices are not executable.
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…?
Non Exclusive · Non Exhaustive · Platform: Polymarket
| Selection | Ref | Basis | Spread | 24h move | Freshness | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
August 31, 2026 | 0.1¢ | Ask | — | — | Stale | |
September 30, 2026 | 0.1¢ | Ask | — | 0.0 pp | Stale | |
December 31, 2026 | 6.5¢ | Midpoint | 1.0¢ | 0.0 pp | Fresh |
02 / History
History
03 / Research
Research
Reuters · Sep 05, 2026, 07:16 UTC · Event-wide
U.S. strikes Iranian tankers near Kharg Island as Trump renews threats against the oil hub
On September 5, U.S. Central Command said American forces struck three Iranian oil vessels, including one off Kharg Island, after IRGC ballistic missiles targeted two U.S. Navy ships. Reuters reported Iran still routes the bulk of its crude through Kharg and that Trump on August 31 posted an AI-generated video depicting the island being destroyed, after earlier saying he wanted to seize it before putting a takeover “off the table.” No change of territorial control of the island was reported.
Open source
04 / Resolution
Resolution
Canonical question. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…?
Non Exclusive · Non Exhaustive
Membership review confirms Selections only. It does not confirm Resolution rules.
Key Rules
Verified against exchange rules
Structured summary not yet available.
05 / Changes
Changes and Sources
No stale analysis flags on this aggregate Market.
| Platform | Source time | Observed | Adapter | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Nov 02, 2026, 13:29 UTC | Nov 02, 2026, 13:30 UTC | 1 | Open |
- Observed
- Nov 02, 2026, 13:30 UTC
- Collection
- Scheduled Collection
- Source time
- —
- Adapter
- Not available
Disclaimer
PMI provides research information sourced from third-party prediction market platforms, including Polymarket. PMI does not operate a prediction market. PMI does not execute trades, place orders, accept deposits, or hold funds. Trade links open third-party platforms. PMI is not affiliated with or endorsed by those platforms. Market information can change. Verify current prices, rules, fees, and availability on the source platform. This material is not trading, investment, legal, or tax advice.
Structured terms are verified extracts, not the exchange's own rules. Prices are snapshots with an explicit basis and are not executable. 24h movement is a snapshot comparison, not a trading signal. Liquidity is reported per platform and is never pooled across venues.