Politics · 1 Market

Iran leadership change by…?

Markets on Iran leadership change by…? across Polymarket. Odds, volume, chart, and key terms below.

Markets

1

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1

Next close

Dec 01, 2026, 00:00 UTC

Last updated

Nov 02, 2026, 13:30 UTC

Quotes refresh on a bounded schedule. Contract terms update only when non-price rules change. Compare source time vs PMI observed time before acting.

01 / Markets

Available Markets

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Iran leadership change by…?

Polymarket · 5 Selections

September 30, 2026 · October 31, 2026 · November 30, 2026

Next close Dec 01, 2026, 00:00 UTC5 listings
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02 / Updates

Latest Updates

IranWire · Sep 28, 2026, 12:00 UTC

IranWire: regime sources say Mojtaba will be replaced after the war; Assembly support for a new Supreme Leader

Two IranWire sources with ties across regime factions and the IRGC said political leaders and numerous IRGC commanders view Mojtaba Khamenei’s continued leadership—allegedly assisted by artificial intelligence—as unsustainable and weakening the system. They said high-ranking officials plan to select a new Supreme Leader once fighting with the U.S. and Israel ends, citing likely physical inability to perform all duties, and that numerous Assembly of Experts members support that change.

Elite succession planning to reverse Mojtaba’s wartime elevation is a direct signal for whether Iran’s leadership changes by 2027—countering recent official claims he is healthy and fully in charge.

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03 / Topic

Topic Brief

Iran Leadership Change By is the shared question across the Markets listed on this Event. Process evidence from listed Markets: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).. See each Market page for the full rulebook. Watch official decisions that change the outcome; venue rules and timing on linked Markets.