Israel Prime Minister After the Next Election

Israel National News · Oct 12, 2026, 18:52 UTC

Two weeks out, Israeli polls split: Channel 12 has Eisenkot’s Yashar! ahead 23–20 with Netanyahu’s bloc at 49, while Channel 14 gives Likud 29 and the right 61

Two polls published Oct. 12 for the Oct. 27 Knesset election diverge on who leads. Channel 12 puts Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar! first with 23 seats, Likud at 20 and Bennett’s Beyachad at 13; the parties of Netanyahu’s current coalition total 49 seats, 12 short of a majority. Channel 14 has Likud first with 29 seats (down two), Yashar! at 20 (down from 23), and the right-wing bloc at 61 (down from 63), with the center-left at 46 and Arab parties at 13. In both polls the Hendel–Zelekha Reservists party clears the threshold with four seats and Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael misses.

With two weeks left, the polls disagree on the question that decides the next prime minister: whether Netanyahu’s bloc can reach 61. Channel 12 keeps Eisenkot’s list largest and the coalition well short, while Channel 14 shows a bare right-wing majority, so traders should weigh which pollster’s series they trust as the final polls land.