Politics · 1 Market

US Clarity Act (H.R. 3633), 2025–2026

The US Clarity Act topic concerns the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025, identified in the supplied evidence as H.R. 3633. The central question is whether the legislation passes both chambers of Congress and is signed into law by the stated deadline. Congress.gov’s legislation tracker is the primary source for the bill’s status.

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Closes

Jan 01, 2027, 00:00 UTC

Scheduled

Last updated

Sep 16, 2026, 23:30 UTC

01 / Markets

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Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Polymarket

Yes 6.6¢Midpoint

Closes Jan 01, 2027, 00:00 UTC24h volume 833K shares

02 / Updates

Latest Updates

Senator Cynthia Lummis · Aug 20, 2026, 00:00 UTC

Senate-linked CLARITY Act draft expands into a 616-page Responsible Financial Innovation Act framework

Senator Cynthia Lummis posted a 616-page amendment in the nature of a substitute for H.R. 3633. The draft incorporates extensive Senate text, including the Lummis-Gillibrand Responsible Financial Innovation Act of 2026, digital-asset disclosure and classification provisions, CFTC and SEC authorities, ethics requirements, and implementation provisions. ([lummis.senate.gov](https://lummis.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/Clarity-Act.pdf))

The release provides a concrete, substantially developed Senate negotiating text ahead of the scheduled September 15, 2026 procedural vote, improving visibility into what legislation may be considered and highlighting that negotiations remain focused on a broad substitute rather than a simple House-bill vote. It is relevant to all timing markets, but the draft itself does not establish passage by either chamber or enactment.

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03 / Topic

Topic Brief

The US Clarity Act concerns the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025, a U.S. bill identified in the supplied evidence as H.R. 3633. The topic focuses on the full lawmaking path rather than on an isolated stage of legislative progress: passage by both chambers of Congress followed by a presidential signature. The process has two legislative gates and an executive action. The bill must pass the House and Senate, after which it must be signed into law. The supplied resolution condition sets a cutoff of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Congress.gov’s legislation tracker is the primary source, with other official U.S. government information and credible reporting available where needed. The evidence does not establish a separate event date or current legislative status. For a prediction-market reader, the distinction between advancing through Congress and becoming law is central. A bill may clear one stage without satisfying the final enactment condition. The Event brings together Markets that examine the outcome across different time horizons, including deadlines before September, October, and November 2026 and later dates in 2027 and 2028. Each Market retains its own exact resolution rules, while this page provides the shared topic context and directs readers to the relevant official record.