Binary · Active · Polymarket

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

The US Clarity Act topic concerns the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025, identified in the supplied evidence as H.R. 3633. The central question is whether the legislation passes both chambers of Congress and is signed into law by the stated deadline. Congress.gov’s legislation tracker is the primary source for the bill’s status.

Parent Event US Clarity Act (H.R. 3633), 2025–2026. Prices are research references. They are not executable quotes.

Exchange

Reference

6.5¢

Yes

24h move

+1.7 pp

Closes

Jan 01, 2027, 00:00 UTC

Freshness

Fresh

Quotes refresh on a bounded schedule. Contract terms update only when non-price rules change. Compare source time vs PMI observed time before acting.

01 / Market

Market

Prices are delayed snapshots. They are not executable quotes.

Quote · Yes (derived)

Fresh snapshot

Bid

6.4¢

Ask

6.5¢

Mid

6.5¢

(bid+ask)/2

Last / ref

6.5¢

Midpoint

Spread
0.1¢
24h move
+1.7 pp
Closes
Jan 01, 2027, 00:00 UTC
Observed
Sep 17, 2026, 00:15 UTC
Liquidity
$427K
Market Activity

Activity (Polymarket units)

Bid size
732.07
Ask size
79.99
Vol 24h
830K shares
Vol total
21M shares
Open interest
Not available
Liquidity
$427K
Min order
5 shares
Tick
0.1¢

Platform units are not comparable across exchanges.

02 / History

History

03 / Research

Research

  • The Block · Aug 11, 2026, 18:35 UTC · Market-linked

    Senate negotiations reopen stablecoin-rewards dispute as CLARITY Act’s September path remains uncertain

    Reporting indicates that lawmakers and banking groups have reopened debate over Section 404’s treatment of stablecoin rewards, despite an earlier compromise. The unresolved dispute adds to ethics, illicit-finance, and scheduling obstacles ahead of the Senate’s planned September 15 procedural vote on H.R. 3633. ([theblock.co](https://www.theblock.co/news/regulation/2026-08-11-whats-next-for-clarity-act-september-brings-tough-road-ahead-411465?utm_source=openai))

    Open source

  • Senator Cynthia Lummis · Jul 22, 2026, 00:00 UTC · Market-linked

    Lummis releases updated merged CLARITY Act text and seeks Senate deal

    Sen. Cynthia Lummis released updated H.R. 3633 text incorporating the Senate Banking and Agriculture Committees’ work and said she was seeking a deal to move the bill toward enactment. The release notes that the bill passed the Senate Banking Committee 15–9 in May 2026, but the updated text may still require negotiations before a Senate floor vote.

    Open source

  • Office of Senator Ruben Gallego · Jul 22, 2026, 00:00 UTC · Market-linked

    Senate Democrats say current CLARITY Act text lacks key safeguards and requires further negotiations

    Seven Democratic senators said the Republican-proposed CLARITY Act text remains insufficient on ethics for elected officials, consumer protection, illicit finance, conflicts of interest, and market integrity. They said they will continue negotiating with Republican colleagues rather than support the current draft.

    Open source

  • Senator Cynthia Lummis · Aug 20, 2026, 00:00 UTC · Event-wide

    Senate-linked CLARITY Act draft expands into a 616-page Responsible Financial Innovation Act framework

    Senator Cynthia Lummis posted a 616-page amendment in the nature of a substitute for H.R. 3633. The draft incorporates extensive Senate text, including the Lummis-Gillibrand Responsible Financial Innovation Act of 2026, digital-asset disclosure and classification provisions, CFTC and SEC authorities, ethics requirements, and implementation provisions. ([lummis.senate.gov](https://lummis.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/Clarity-Act.pdf))

    Open source

  • U.S. Senate · Aug 05, 2026, 00:00 UTC · Event-wide

    Senate's final pre-recess floor proceedings did not include H.R. 3633

    The Senate's official 2026 floor-activity index indicates that H.R. 3633 was not taken up during the chamber's final listed proceedings before the August recess, while other legislation and nominations advanced.

    Open source

  • U.S. Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs · May 14, 2026, 00:00 UTC · Event-wide

    Senate Banking Committee advances CLARITY Act in bipartisan 15–9 vote

    The Senate Banking Committee advanced H.R. 3633, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025, by a bipartisan 15–9 vote during a committee markup. The bill still requires Senate floor passage, House action or concurrence, and presidential signature before becoming law.

    Open source

04 / Resolution

Resolution

Key Rules

Verified against exchange rules

Resolution condition
Uncertain
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S.
Resolution source
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Closing time
Jan 01, 2027, 00:00 UTC
Time zone
Eastern Time (ET)
Cancellation / early-close logic
Missing
Unknown
Full Exchange Rules

Exchange rules (source text)

Preserved from the exchange · distinct from PMI interpretation

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

05 / Changes

Changes and Sources

No semantic rule versions yet.

Provenance

Source time and PMI observation are separate.

Source timestamp
Unknown from source
Version observation
Aug 15, 2026, 10:15 UTC
Version ingestion
Aug 15, 2026, 10:15 UTC
Latest observation
Sep 17, 2026, 00:07 UTC
Latest source timestamp
Unknown from source
Response generated
Sep 17, 2026, 00:26 UTC
Source parser
v1
Observed
Sep 17, 2026, 00:15 UTC
Collection
Scheduled Collection
Source time
Sep 17, 2026, 00:15 UTC
Adapter
1

Disclaimer

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Structured terms are verified extracts, not the exchange's own rules. Prices are snapshots with an explicit basis and are not executable. 24h movement is a snapshot comparison, not a trading signal. Liquidity is reported per platform and is never pooled across venues.