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Fed Decision in September?
Polymarket · 5 Selections
Leading 25 bps increase 99.9¢Polymarket
Closed Sep 16, 2026, 00:00 UTC5 listings
Economics · 1 Market
US Fed Decision September 2026
Polymarket odds for the September 2026 FOMC decision. Review cut, hold, and hike contracts, deadlines, and key terms.
Markets
1
Platforms
1
Closed
Sep 16, 2026, 00:00 UTC
Last updated
Sep 16, 2026, 21:30 UTC
Quotes refresh on a bounded schedule. Contract terms update only when non-price rules change. Compare source time vs PMI observed time before acting.
01 / Markets
Available Markets
02 / Updates
Latest Updates
Federal Reserve · Sep 16, 2026, 18:00 UTC
Fed raises rates 25 basis points to 3.75%–4% in unanimous September decision
The FOMC voted 12–0 on September 16 to raise the federal funds target range by 1/4 percentage point to 3.75%–4%, citing elevated inflation and resilient domestic demand. Chair Kevin Warsh said inflation has been “too high … for too long,” and the statement pledged a timelier return to the 2% goal.
This is the September meeting outcome the hub prices — the first hike since 2023, confirming the tightening path foreshadowed in July minutes and resetting the 2026 rate path.
Open sourceEarlier · 4 notes
03 / Topic
Topic Brief
This Event covers the September 2026 FOMC meeting: whether the Fed hikes, cuts, or leaves the funds rate unchanged.
July minutes showed some support for a hike if inflation stays sticky. Housing and the long end of the Treasury market have been feeding that debate more than the labor market.
The meeting window was around 16 September 2026. Treat Polymarket prices as research snapshots. Confirm the official FOMC statement and platform settlement before you treat the outcome as final.