US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

The US-Iran final nuclear deal concerns whether the two countries produce a qualifying written diplomatic instrument addressing Iran’s nuclear program and other topics. The event is framed around a written agreement rather than a general statement of intent, making the form and substance of any eventual instrument central to how the topic is understood. According to the supplied market excerpts, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement on June 14, 2026. That agreement included a 60-day extendable period during which both countries committed to negotiate toward a final deal. The process therefore involves bilateral diplomacy, a defined negotiation period, and a possible written outcome that must satisfy the qualifying conditions used by the relevant Markets. For a prediction-market reader, the key distinction is between negotiations continuing and a qualifying final instrument being reached by a specified deadline. The Markets divide that question across deadlines from August through December 2026, allowing the timing of a written outcome to be tracked without treating every diplomatic development as a completed deal. The topic’s Markets focus on whether the qualifying written instrument exists by particular end-of-month dates. Their exact resolution rules determine what evidence counts, while this Event provides the broader context for understanding the negotiation process and its timing structure.