Ladder · Published · Polymarket
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal Deadlines
Whether the United States and Iran produce a qualifying written nuclear deal by successive 2026 deadlines on Polymarket.
Parent Event US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal Deadlines. Prices are research references. They are not executable quotes.
Next deadline price
0.1¢
August 31, 2026
24h move
0.0 pp
Next close
Dec 01, 2026, 00:00 UTC
Freshness
Stale
Quotes refresh on a bounded schedule. Contract terms update only when non-price rules change. Compare source time vs PMI observed time before acting.
01 / Market
Market
Platform markets are not one pooled order book. Prices are not executable.
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal Deadlines
Non Exclusive · Non Exhaustive · Platform: Polymarket
| Selection | Ref | Basis | Spread | 24h move | Freshness | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
August 31, 2026 | 0.1¢ | Ask | — | 0.0 pp | Stale | |
September 30, 2026 | 0.1¢ | Ask | — | -0.1 pp | Stale | |
October 31, 2026 | 0.1¢ | Ask | — | -0.7 pp | Stale | |
November 30, 2026 | 8.5¢ | Midpoint | 1.0¢ | 0.0 pp | Fresh | |
December 31, 2026 | 13.5¢ | Midpoint | 1.0¢ | 0.0 pp | Fresh |
02 / History
History
03 / Research
Research
Dawn · Aug 26, 2026, 21:18 UTC · Market-linked
Iran conditions IAEA access to war-damaged nuclear sites on a new security protocol
Iranian Atomic Energy Organization chief Mohammad Eslami said the IAEA cannot inspect nuclear facilities damaged in recent US and Israeli strikes until a site-security and inspection protocol is established. The position adds a concrete verification condition to any future US-Iran nuclear arrangement.
Open sourceU.S. Department of the Treasury · Aug 24, 2026, 17:44 UTC · Market-linked
The United States launched Operation Economic Outcast and expanded sanctions pressure on Iran
The Treasury Department announced a new whole-of-government economic campaign against Iran, including expanded secondary-sanctions exposure, five new sectoral sanctions determinations, and designations targeting nearly 60 entities, individuals, and vessels tied to Iran’s nuclear, missile, cyber, and oil networks.
Open sourceAssociated Press · Aug 17, 2026, 08:33 UTC · Market-linked
The 60-day U.S.-Iran memorandum deadline expired without a final nuclear agreement
The 60-day period established by the June 14 U.S.-Iran memorandum expired without a final written nuclear agreement. Talks remained focused on the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. blockade, while major nuclear issues were unresolved.
Open sourceIran International · Oct 04, 2026, 09:32 UTC · Event-wide
Iran weighs Russian offer to take custody of its 60%-enriched uranium as parliament puts NPT withdrawal on the agenda
Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei said on October 4 that Iran is considering a Russian offer to take custody of its uranium enriched to 60%, with a final decision to be based on national interests. The same day, parliament board member Alireza Salimi said lawmakers will review a possible withdrawal from the NPT while keeping uranium enrichment. Tehran is also reviewing a US proposal, conveyed through Qatar, that sets out a roadmap and timetable for further talks.
Open sourceAl Jazeera · Sep 29, 2026, 10:00 UTC · Event-wide
US says no Iran war-end deal unless nuclear program is addressed; Trump rejects 7-day Hormuz plan
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi met Qatari mediators in New York on Monday over Tehran’s seven-day plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz after U.S. sanctions relief, unfreezing of funds, and an end to the naval blockade of Iranian ports, with nuclear talks only then restarting by day seven. President Trump had called the proposal “unacceptable.” A U.S. official told Al Jazeera that indirect talks remain “positive and constructive” but there will be no agreement unless Iran’s nuclear programme is addressed; Washington would trade sanctions relief and frozen-funds release for concrete nuclear progress, while the sides remain apart on sequencing. Araghchi said he hoped for Washington’s final reply by Tuesday.
Open sourceTheFly / TipRanks · Aug 27, 2026, 18:00 UTC · Event-wide
U.S. tells mediators it will not return to the June memorandum with Iran
The Trump administration reportedly told mediators that it has no interest in restoring the terms of the June U.S.-Iran memorandum and is willing to continue economic pressure instead. The report, attributed to people familiar with the matter and published by The Wall Street Journal via TheFly, indicates that Washington is not treating the expired framework as the basis for renewed negotiations. ([tipranks.com](https://www.tipranks.com/news/the-fly/u-s-has-no-interest-in-returning-to-terms-of-june-deal-with-iran-wsj-reports-thefly-news?utm_source=openai))
Open source
04 / Resolution
Resolution
Canonical question. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal Deadlines
Non Exclusive · Non Exhaustive
Membership review confirms Selections only. It does not confirm Resolution rules.
Key Rules
Verified against exchange rules
Structured summary not yet available.
05 / Changes
Changes and Sources
No stale analysis flags on this aggregate Market.
| Platform | Source time | Observed | Adapter | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Nov 02, 2026, 13:29 UTC | Nov 02, 2026, 13:30 UTC | 1 | Open |
- Observed
- Nov 02, 2026, 13:30 UTC
- Collection
- Scheduled Collection
- Source time
- —
- Adapter
- Not available
Disclaimer
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Structured terms are verified extracts, not the exchange's own rules. Prices are snapshots with an explicit basis and are not executable. 24h movement is a snapshot comparison, not a trading signal. Liquidity is reported per platform and is never pooled across venues.