RaceActiveFresh
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket · 52 Selections
Leading JD Vance 18.4¢Polymarket
Closes Nov 08, 2028, 00:00 UTC52 listings
Politics · 1 Market
US Presidential Election 2028
This Event covers the 2028 US presidential election and the question of who will win it. Its supplied aggregate Market, Presidential Election Winner 2028, contains 52 member selections, including Greg Abbott, Andy Beshear, Hakeem Jeffries, Alex Padilla, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump Jr., Pete Buttigieg, and Eric Trump.
Markets
1
Platforms
1
Closes
Nov 08, 2028, 00:00 UTC
Last updated
Nov 02, 2026, 11:45 UTC
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01 / Markets
Available Markets
02 / Updates
Latest Updates
Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll · Sep 30, 2026, 19:00 UTC
Harvard CAPS/HarrisX: Harris (38%) and Vance (39%) lead 2028 fields; Trump Jr. jumps to second in GOP
Harvard CAPS/HarrisX (Sept. 26–28; 2,200 registered voters; MoE ±2.1) finds Kamala Harris leading Democrats for 2028 at 38% (−4 from August), ahead of Gavin Newsom 17% and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% (+3). Among Republicans, J.D. Vance leads at 39% (−5), with Donald Trump Jr. surging to 24% (+6) over Marco Rubio at 17% (−4). Sixty-seven percent of voters say they have given a lot or some thought to the 2028 presidential election.
More than two years out, this is the clearest national signal this week on likely 2028 nominee paths: a continued Harris–Vance pairing at the top, with Trump Jr.’s sudden rise reshaping the Republican alternative lane that markets still price around Rubio.
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03 / Topic
Topic Brief
The 2028 US presidential election is the real-world topic represented by this Event. The supplied record centers on the contest for the presidency and identifies a reviewed aggregate Market titled Presidential Election Winner 2028.
The available evidence does not include an official election schedule, filing process, nomination rules, campaign milestones, or decision path. It does show that the topic is represented through an aggregate Market with 52 member selections. The supplied labels include Greg Abbott, Andy Beshear, Hakeem Jeffries, Alex Padilla, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump Jr., Pete Buttigieg, and Eric Trump, plus 44 additional selections.
For a prediction-market reader, the durable question is how the potential-winner field is represented and compared across the Markets discovered on this Event page. The aggregate structure provides a topic-level view of the winner question, while the supplied record does not establish current status, official qualification, or the timing of any election-related decision. Readers should use exact Market rules for interpretation of individual outcomes.