BinaryActiveFresh
Trump out as President before 2027?
Polymarket
Yes 3.5¢Midpoint
Closes Jan 01, 2027, 00:00 UTC24h volume 57K shares
Politics · 1 Market
Trump Out as President Before 2027?
This topic concerns whether Donald Trump remains President of the United States through the end of 2026. The outcome turns on whether he resigns, is removed, or otherwise ceases to be president before the stated deadline.
Markets
1
Platforms
1
Closes
Jan 01, 2027, 00:00 UTC
Last updated
Nov 02, 2026, 13:30 UTC
Quotes refresh on a bounded schedule. Contract terms update only when non-price rules change. Compare source time vs PMI observed time before acting.
01 / Markets
Available Markets
02 / Updates
Latest Updates
IBTimes UK · Oct 06, 2026, 22:54 UTC
Newsom calls for the 25th Amendment over Trump’s Iran remarks, but no removal process is underway
California Gov. Gavin Newsom urged invoking the 25th Amendment on Oct. 6 after President Trump told a Nebraska rally that Iran could “take out” Los Angeles and San Diego; the White House said Trump was describing the threat from a nuclear-armed Iran. A governor cannot start that process: Section 4 needs Vice President Vance and a majority of the Cabinet to declare the president unable to serve. The impeachment route is also stalled after the House voted 232–147 on Sept. 15 to table Rep. Al Green’s impeachment resolution (H. Res. 1486), with 18 Democrats joining Republicans and 46 voting present.
Neither removal path is active, and the next Congress is not seated until January 2027, so Trump leaving office before 2027 still turns mainly on health or resignation rather than on Democratic calls for removal.
Open source03 / Topic
Topic Brief
The topic concerns whether Donald Trump remains President of the United States through the end of 2026. It focuses on an early end to the presidency rather than the ordinary completion of a presidential term.
The relevant pathways identified in the supplied market condition are resignation, removal, or another situation in which Trump ceases to be president. The market’s stated time boundary is December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time, and an announcement of resignation or removal before that endpoint is described as immediately resolving the market.
For a prediction-market reader, this topic separates the question of presidential continuity from broader judgments about politics or policy. The key distinction is whether the presidency ends under the market’s specified conditions within the stated period; otherwise, the market resolves to No.
Read the landscape as a question about a defined institutional outcome and deadline, not as a general measure of political support or the likelihood of any particular event unless the supplied market rules explicitly establish that connection.