Binary · Active · Polymarket
Trump out as President before 2027?
This topic concerns whether Donald Trump remains President of the United States through the end of 2026. The outcome turns on whether he resigns, is removed, or otherwise ceases to be president before the stated deadline.
Parent Event Trump Out as President Before 2027?. Prices are research references. They are not executable quotes.
Reference
5.5¢
Yes
24h move
0.0 pp
Closes
Jan 01, 2027, 00:00 UTC
Freshness
Fresh
Quotes refresh on a bounded schedule. Contract terms update only when non-price rules change. Compare source time vs PMI observed time before acting.
01 / Market
Market
Prices are delayed snapshots. They are not executable quotes.
Quote · Yes (derived)
Fresh snapshot
Bid
5.0¢
Ask
6.0¢
Mid
5.5¢
(bid+ask)/2
Last / ref
5.5¢
Midpoint
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- 24h move
- 0.0 pp
- Closes
- Jan 01, 2027, 00:00 UTC
- Observed
- Sep 17, 2026, 00:15 UTC
- Liquidity
- $306K
Market Activity
Activity (Polymarket units)
- Bid size
- 110125.51
- Ask size
- 5979.52
- Vol 24h
- 73K shares
- Vol total
- 12M shares
- Open interest
- Not available
- Liquidity
- $306K
- Min order
- 5 shares
- Tick
- 1.0¢
Platform units are not comparable across exchanges.
02 / History
History
03 / Research
Research
04 / Resolution
Resolution
Key Rules
Verified against exchange rules
Last updated Aug 28, 2026, 00:07 UTC
Full Exchange Rules
Exchange rules (source text)
Preserved from the exchange · distinct from PMI interpretation
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
05 / Changes
Changes and Sources
What changed
Semantic versions only. Field diffs ≠ legal materiality.
current v2 · 2 known
- v2decision-relevant (rules/dates/outcomes)Datesobs Aug 28, 2026, 00:07 UTC
Review both clauses. PMI does not classify legal materiality from string inequality.
Before
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
After
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- Status
- Active → Active
- Closes
- Dec 31, 2026, 00:00 → Jan 01, 2027, 00:00 · UTC
- Title
- Trump out as President before 2027? → Trump out as President before 2027?
Provenance
Source time and PMI observation are separate.
- Source timestamp
- Unknown from source
- Version observation
- Aug 28, 2026, 00:07 UTC
- Version ingestion
- Aug 28, 2026, 00:07 UTC
- Latest observation
- Sep 17, 2026, 00:07 UTC
- Latest source timestamp
- Unknown from source
- Response generated
- Sep 17, 2026, 00:26 UTC
- Source parser
- v1
- Observed
- Sep 17, 2026, 00:15 UTC
- Collection
- Scheduled Collection
- Source time
- Sep 17, 2026, 00:14 UTC
- Adapter
- 1
Disclaimer
PMI provides research information sourced from third-party prediction market platforms, including Polymarket. PMI does not operate a prediction market. PMI does not execute trades, place orders, accept deposits, or hold funds. Trade links open third-party platforms. PMI is not affiliated with or endorsed by those platforms. Market information can change. Verify current prices, rules, fees, and availability on the source platform. This material is not trading, investment, legal, or tax advice.
Structured terms are verified extracts, not the exchange's own rules. Prices are snapshots with an explicit basis and are not executable. 24h movement is a snapshot comparison, not a trading signal. Liquidity is reported per platform and is never pooled across venues.